The work focuses on the analysis of extreme hydroclimatic variables with an emphasis on precipitation and streamflow in the past and future. Linked with A1 and A2, this work package intends to conduct a Canada-wide analysis of precipitation data and develop a universal distribution model that adequately represents the tail behavior of precipitation across Canada. The team will further characterize the dependency of the tail behavior of streamflow to other climatic variables through the use of Copulas. In parallel, linked with A3 and in conjunction with Core Modelling and FloodNet, we will develop a hydraulic modelling toolkit (HEC-RAS) for flood mapping in select flood sensitive areas.

Area of focus:

  • Saskatchewan 
  • Qu'appelle River System
  • Basins in Ontario in Windsor, Hamilton, and London

Model in use:

  • HEC-RAS
  • MIKEFLOOD
  • Delft3D

Year 1 - Year 2: Development of the HEC-RAS model for flood sensitive areas on Saskatchewan and qu'appelle River Systems and some basins in Southern Ontario in Windsor, Hamilton, and London.

Year 2: Climate realizations and Generation of datasets. Analysis of flood-triggering mechanisms.

Year 3: Statistical analysis & construction of copulas at the sites for estimating current and future flood quantiles at gauged and ungauged sites.

Lead:

Paulin

 

Paulin Coulibaly

Professor
McMaster University | Department of Civil Engineering

 

Co-Leads:

Picture of Amin Elshorbagy

 

Amin Elshorbagy

Professor
University of Saskatchewan | College of Engineering

 

 

Highly Qualified Personnel:

Mohanad Zaghloul

PhD
University of Saskatchewan
2018-2021

 

Research: Statistical Simulation of hydrological processes flood mapping
Supervisor: Amin Elshorbagy (U of S) & Simon Papalexiou
Image result for saskatchewan water security agency logo

 

Water Security Agency
Government of Manitoba

 

Manitoba Infrastructure

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